Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.033111 0.039030 0.045176 0.051994 0.059310 0.066893 0.075313
2025-12-21 0.024187 0.032572 0.041823 0.052610 0.064684 0.077649 0.092495
2025-12-28 0.020590 0.030818 0.042631 0.056884 0.073277 0.091259 0.112219
2026-01-04 0.015198 0.025940 0.039035 0.055436 0.074832 0.096561 0.122316
2026-01-11 0.012204 0.023473 0.037862 0.056426 0.078848 0.104352 0.134941
2026-01-18 0.009577 0.021018 0.036354 0.056722 0.081807 0.110737 0.145797
2026-01-25 0.007579 0.019082 0.035255 0.057312 0.084948 0.117197 0.156620
2026-02-01 0.005780 0.017087 0.033842 0.057321 0.087239 0.122543 0.166056
2026-02-08 0.003712 0.014119 0.030749 0.054902 0.086339 0.123949 0.170758
2026-02-15 0.002475 0.012250 0.029014 0.054112 0.087345 0.127534 0.177932
2026-02-22 0.001793 0.011277 0.028511 0.054910 0.090303 0.133434 0.187806
2026-03-01 0.001297 0.010535 0.028281 0.056027 0.093631 0.139754 0.198157
2026-03-08 0.000978 0.010174 0.028714 0.058189 0.098480 0.148152 0.211266
2026-03-15 0.000581 0.009304 0.028218 0.058999 0.101570 0.154413 0.221865
2026-03-22 0.000586 0.009909 0.030296 0.063558 0.109618 0.166834 0.239902
2026-03-29 0.000182 0.008283 0.028275 0.062029 0.109544 0.169124 0.245685
2026-04-05 0.000061 0.007683 0.028031 0.063079 0.112871 0.175633 0.256554
2026-04-12 0.000002 0.006898 0.027335 0.063392 0.115172 0.180827 0.265807
2026-04-19 NaN 0.006275 0.026874 0.064017 0.117864 0.186495 0.275621
2026-04-26 NaN 0.005530 0.026054 0.064027 0.119676 0.191021 0.284018
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004201 0.023697 0.061464 0.117845 0.190835 0.286561
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003441 0.022467 0.060626 0.118352 0.193597 0.292700
2026-05-17 NaN 0.003121 0.022275 0.061472 0.121210 0.199372 0.302558